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The Erosion of Health and The Growth of Risk

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The Erosion of Health and The Growth of Risk—I am a food safety advocate.

In 2014, there was a global effort to take over the natural products and medicines sector and substitute pharmaceutical alternatives.

I wrote a book about it and lobbied governments.

The biotech proposals were rejected in several countries and most truly natural products are still available due to the porous nature of the global economy, but it may have escaped your notice that the biotech sector has managed to invade the sector through stealth.

The labels on our food now often mention so-called natural flavours, identifying them with phrases such as ‘natural vanilla flavour’

There is nothing natural about this, it is a ‘copy’ made in industrial quantities that has distinct and important differences from flavours derived from actual vanilla beans.

The point here is that commercial interests use misinformation in subtle ways.

One very important technique is to masquerade as a champion of health, when actually the opposite is the case.

This enables the wrong players to gain the upper hand in the market place.

The substance of my book was a growing body of research which shows that the current medical paradigm of digestion is incomplete.

Recent research shows that our body relies on foods based on DNA to maintain its health.

We are part of an extended biofield and enjoy a symbiotic relationship with natural foods that are necessary to maintain stable health.

Over millions of years of evolution we have built up a co-evolutionary relationship with the wider environment of DNA—our health depends on maintaining this.

The introduction of a vast array of additives, ultra-processed foods, environmental pollutants, chemicals, pharmaceutical medicines, etc., that are completely new to our physiology, has been responsible for the rapid growth of exotic illnesses, cancers, and chronic conditions.

These threats to genetic stability have emerged in some cases slowly and by stealth as they wear down the body’s defences.

It is in this context that the introduction of novel vaccines and medicines to combat Covid poses unknowable challenges to health.

Time alone will tell.

In the meantime, the introduction of universal vaccine mandates is only magnifying the potential extent of the risks.

Moreover, the same people who likely created the virus in a lab, are now leading the charge to introduce more novel constructs into our physiology—wolves in sheep’s clothing.

Covid Increasingly Appears to be a Long-term Project

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Given the evolving nature of coronaviruses, and the historical experience, the only cost effective and sustainable solution to meet this challenge is adoption of health measures that will enable individuals and families to preserve and promote their own health more effectively.

Aside from the obvious, such as five portions of fruit and vegetables a day, regular exercise, curbs on sugars and hard fats, reductions in pollutants, etc., you might be wondering about the sort of health measures and research that I believe need to be pursued.

Here is an example of an initiative to directly evaluate a potentially cost-effective natural approach:

In July, the Government of India’s All India Institute of Ayurveda, in partnership with the UK’s London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, agreed to conduct an official study on Ashwagandha (Withania Somnifera) to aid recovery from Covid-19.

The double-blind clinical studies will be conducted on 2,000 people in the three UK cities of Leicester, Birmingham and London (Southall and Wembley).

One group of 1,000 participants will receive ashwagandha tablets for three months, while the second group of 1,000 participants will receive a placebo, which is indistinguishable from ashwagandha in appearance and taste.

In a double-blind study, both patients and doctors will not find out about the treatment of the other group, ”explained Dr. Tanuja Manoj Nesari, director of the AHA, who together with Dr. Rajgopalan is involved in the project.

Dr. LSHTM’s Sanjay Kinra is the study’s lead investigator.

This is the first time the AYUSH Ministry has partnered with a foreign institution to study the effectiveness of ashwagandha in Covid-19 patients.

Ashwagandha (Withania Somnifera), commonly known as “Indian winter cherry”, is a traditional Ayurvedic medicinal herb known to increase energy, reduce stress and strengthen the immune system.

It is an easily available over-the-counter dietary supplement in the UK, has a proven safety profile and positive effects in Covid-19 patients have been previously seen.

Successful completion of the study could be a major breakthrough and bring the traditional Indian medical system to scientific attention.

Study Shows No Correlation Between Vaccination Rates and Covid Incidence

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International study shows no correlation between vaccination rates and covid incidence. (Link to study below)

It echos a simple correlation of vaccination rates with covid deaths by country (190 countries) I undertook a couple of weeks ago.

It looks at a smaller number of countries, but crucially considers USA data by county.

Over the last few weeks hysterical stories about how lack of vaccination is driving the USA covid surge have been circulating in the press embellished by personalised accounts of unvaccinated people pleading for vaccines as they ride in ambulances to hospital.

These have no doubt been helping to fuel a public perception that vaccination as a stand alone policy is enough to control spread.

This study shows, as mine did, that real world data does not support the headline figures of vaccination effectiveness that have been floated on the back of early clinical trials.

There is no observable correlation between vaccination rates and Covid cases.

This is very sobering.

It points to the salient reality that there are other important factors at work.

These factors need to be understood.

As we have discussed, IMO there is a need to appreciate that factors including diet, lifestyle, and the environment are supporting health and should be crucial to government policy.

Link to this study:

Subramanian, S.V., Kumar, A. Increases in COVID-19 are unrelated to levels of vaccination across 68 countries and 2947 counties in the United States. Eur J Epidemiol (2021).
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-021-00808-7

Varying Methodologies to Assess Relative Risks have Distorted the Covid Debate

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Open Letter To: Jacinda Ardern

Varying Methodologies to Assess Relative Risks have Distorted the Covid Debate, Tended to Misinform the Public, and Opened the Door to Mistakes in Public Health Policy.

Dear Jacinda

I want to thank you for the great compassion and clarity you have exhibited during your tenure as Prime Minister.

Your promotion of science and scientists in alliance with government has been inspiring. Your capacity to communicate ideas is of the highest order. Your patience is exemplary.

As a scientist who has worked with statistical analysis of social data including time series analysis and panel regression analysis I am well aware that to draw useful conclusions methodologies and data collection criteria have to be at foundation consistent.

I clearly understand that Covid poses a unique challenge to immediate and long term health.

I also realise that our emergency health facilities here in New Zealand will be inadequate to provide services should Covid become widespread in the community.

I support all efforts to prevent this happening including effective vaccination.

Recently I have become puzzled by persistent personal reports of vaccine harm circulating in the public domain that are not reflected in the government reports of adverse reactions to the vaccine.

I have reflected upon this, and communicated with friends and scientists here and overseas.

As a result I am beginning to get a clear picture of a distinct divergence of methodologies which is distorting the presentation of information.

Firstly, overseas there has been a general tendency in countries where there is an adequate reporting system in place, to certify deaths within one month of being actively ill with Covid, as being due solely to Covid.

This has occurred even though it is clear that comorbidities are determinants of the risk of developing serious Covid.

These comorbidities include (in no particular order)

  • uncontrolled hypertension
  • obesity
  • diabetes
  • weakened immune system
  • certain medications (of which there are many)
  • excessive fatigue
  • shift work
  • heart conditions
  • liver and kidney conditions
  • asthma
  • smoking
  • gender
  • ethnicity
  • advanced age
  • poverty and crowded living conditions
  • cancer
  • cystic fibrosis
  • sickle cell anaemia
  • pregnancy
  • dementia
  • and substance abuse.

The policy of recording Covid on the death certificate irrespective of the comorbidities can be consistently applied and has its own logic.

However the method of recording adverse effects of Covid vaccines is applied distinctly differently and in an opposite way.

When a vaccine adverse effect is reported, the policy is to search for possible confounding morbidities, if one can be found then it is judged that the vaccine is not responsible.

It is also not a policy to examine all deaths and adverse events for a whole month after vaccination, thus in addition many possible adverse effects are being omitted.

It is well known that vaccines including Covid vaccines are vectors (or triggers) which can and do exacerbate a large number of co-morbidities.

Thus, taking a specific example, Covid vaccines are known to be associated with thrombosis, but this association is dismissed as causative because it predominantly occurs among people who already are known to be at risk of stroke.

For example, a small number of people taking the contraceptive pill are known to be at risk of thrombosis.

Should such a person die after receiving the vaccination as happened recently in New Zealand, the cause of death is ascribed to the contraceptive pill. This is an excessively conservative and misleading approach.

Since the reporting methodologies of Covid severity and death versus vaccination adverse effects are divergent, conclusions drawn from these two sets of data are unsound.

The distortion these two differing methodologies produce turns out to be significant in terms of public policy.

Apples are being compared to oranges.

Whilst Covid deaths appear inflated, vaccine adverse effects are greatly reduced to the extent that they appear to be virtually non-existent.

This is not the case.

As you are aware from your recent post on your Facebook page about vaccine side effects, which garnered 33,000 comments, vaccine side effects are highly unreported by the government agency but are not going unnoticed by a significant cohort of the public.

What are the principle effects of this and other known facts on public policy?

1. Members of the public who have significant comorbidities likely to be triggered by the Covid vaccine are not being informed of the potential risks, quite the reverse.

They are being encouraged and even pressured to take the vaccine with the impression that it is scientifically proven to be harmless.

Thus they are being denied informed consent, and should they suffer adverse effects denied redress or acknowledgement.

The imposition of vaccine mandates in certain professions confounds this further.

The present discussion of possible vaccine passports will also do so.

2. The overriding importance of tackling comorbidities is masked—prior ill health is actually the main cause of death from Covid.

Thus government policy is not doing enough to favour healthy diets and lifestyles.

It could be doing more than it is, such as abolishing GST on fresh fruit and vegetables, imposing a sugar tax, introducing closer assessment, information, and control of additives, ultra processed foods, and known harmful pesticides, as well as maintaining clean air (including reducing off gassing in building materials and household goods).

In this regard a huge opportunity is going missing. Approximately 75% of people recover from Covid without suffering serious illness or long term effects.

Where is the funding for research to be done to determine what it is about their lifestyle, diet, environment, etc., which is supporting their health?

3. The vaccination of minors is a scandalous side effect of this misinformation.

Research is yet incomplete, but an initial indication from the USA is that the Covid vaccine is four times more dangerous for males under 18 than Covid itself.

Moreover other research shows that the natural immune protection developed after recovery from Covid is 13 times more powerful that the temporary protection offered by the vaccine.

Since the vaccine does not stem transmission of Covid, the purpose of vaccinating 12-17-year-olds (not to speak of 5-12-year-olds) is obscure and risky. It flies in the face of your caring stance.

4. It is not being publicised that the vaccine has been approved on an emergency basis.

Its long term effects, which would normally be assessed before general use, have yet to be researched.

Thus youth in particular and the whole population in general are be exposed to some unquantified risks.

How did it come about that you have been advised that the policies being followed are soundly based on science, whereas there is a fundamental methodological flaw being applied?

The answer lies in historical policies which in their day might have been useful or expedient, and in the fragmentation, inconsistency in thinking, and lack of alertness among the busy scientific and health professionals formulating advice.

Also in a certain willingness to accept at face value the consistency of data and conclusions sourced from different bodies, countries, and commercial interests.

Vaccine developers and manufacturers are commercial bodies.

At the heart of their endeavour is not just a desire to benefit health but also a push to secure profits in a highly competitive market.

Over 117 vaccines have or are being developed worldwide.

The failure to address statistically and publicly the interactions of vaccines with comorbidities is not just a matter of history but also a matter of marketing.

Despite the fact that vaccine companies have been granted immunity from prosecution, they are still sensitive to public acceptance.

Covid is new disease that emerged rapidly and spread globally.

Whilst Covid is very obviously greatly affected by comorbidities, vaccine side effect assessments have continued to follow protocols established for illnesses where comorbidities were of less importance.

This needs to be urgently corrected.

I trust that you will continue to take account of the science and be bold in adjusting your message accordingly.

At present an erroneous impression might have been created that vaccinated individuals can be allowed free movement without downside, whilst the vaccine hesitant are blameworthy.

On a positive note, it appears that new treatments for Covid are emerging.

These are promising to lessen the impact and mortality rate of the disease. If these prove safe, your policy of elimination will be vindicated.

In this light, extension of elimination strategies may prove within a short time frame to result in a long term benefit.

As you know, vaccination alone is proving insufficient to control the disease around the world, even in developed countries.

Therefore it is unlikely to do so here.

New treatments may hold one answer. No doubt your government is closely monitoring these and proposing to adopt them.

If there is one clear lesson of the pandemic it is this:—maintenance of personal health through access to diet, exercise, cleanliness, and adequate rest is still the most vital determinant of public health and should be the priority of government health policy.

With best wishes

Guy Hatchard PhD

The Great Sleight of Hand—The Origins of the Pandemic

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The Great Sleight of Hand—Increasingly information is surfacing about the origins of the pandemic.

Gain of function work on bat coronaviruses at Wuhan stretches back to its opening in 2014.

Wuhan benefitted from collaboration with French, Canadian, and US government-funded institutions and scientists.

The overt aim was to research bat viruses with a view to developing vaccines and cures for future pandemics.

By 2017 Wuhan had announced it had located deadly viruses.

Simultaneously the US Beijing embassy was becoming suspicious about safety at the lab and was alarmed about the nature of the research being undertaken.

Washington ignored their warnings. US and Chinese scientists were pressing for more funding to ‘extend’ work towards the creation of novel viruses to be tested on humanised mice.

Due to the secrecy surrounding the lab and suspicions about military involvement, we will probably never know exactly what happened at Wuhan.

We do know however that the virus was circulating much much earlier than December 2019 and certainly did not originate at the Wuhan wild food market.

The strong response to control the pandemic from China and the initially weak and belated response in Western democracies has been discussed at length.

The rapid advent of vaccines is now hailed as the success story of the pandemic, a harbinger of even better medical technology to come.

This is The Great Sleight of Hand

There are some hard truths of health that have been brushed under the carpet so that we will all uncritically welcome an era of genetic medicine beyond the understanding of all but a small elite, and controlled by corporations seeking pharmaceutical gold mines.

The vast majority of people recover from Covid naturally.

What is it about their life style, their physiology, and their diet that enables them to be healthy is not being researched.

Meanwhile, for the last ten years, the life expectancy of Americans has been steadily declining while the incidence of chronic illness is growing.

For millions of years, the human race has evolved in a symbiotic natural relationship with the plant and animal kingdom.

In essence, the DNA of plants has nourished and guarded the DNA and health of humans. Now food sources are debased and medicine itself has become the leading cause of death.

Thus we stand on the threshold of a brave new world where humans can create illnesses and then sell cures for them—the ultimate prescription for wealth generation.

The current debate whether to vaccinate or not is there to distract us. Of course we should do everything to stay healthy based on the best information we have, but quietly our health is being taken beyond our control as novel technology starts to dominate our food sources and our health systems.

The very people who likely created the pandemic are parading themselves as heroes and calling for increased funding of genetic research whose risks out pace all other risks.

At smaller time and distance scales genetic functions are self interacting, they are not linear, changes here affect functions there and there and there.

We should move on from the subtle ways the pandemic debate is being framed and limited to a small number of choices and controversies.

The first lesson of the Covid pandemic is to close the pandoras box of genetic manipulation before we become a prisoner in the hands of genetic technologists who are babies playing at God.

The second lesson is to strengthen the traditional natural roots of health in lifestyle, diet, and behaviour.

Conversations About Vaccines Have Drifted Away From The Science

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Increasingly some of the social media conversations about vaccines have drifted away from the science into the realm of magic bullet philosophy.

Yes, Covid vaccines will reduce the severity of the disease and their risks are statistically small, and therefore having them is a wise choice, but they do little to stop transmission and the effective protection they offer wanes very quickly.

These last pose a serious problem for the course of the pandemic. As the vaccines allow transmission, the vaccinated population (along with the unvaccinated population) remains a breeding ground for new variants.

In the case of the vaccinated, continuing transmission automatically selects for vaccine immune variants. This is a rapidly ticking time bomb.

As a result, vaccination is NOT a stand alone solution.

Covid particularly affects those with weak immune systems (although not exclusively), it progresses by driving the inflammatory, autoimmune response of the body into hyperdrive.

The association of inflammation with modern human diseases (e.g. obesity, cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes mellitus, cancer, arthritis, asthma, and now Covid) remains an unsolved mystery of current biology and medicine.

Inflammation is by far the number one cause of death and its incidence is growing rapidly.

If we are to beat Covid, as a minimum, vaccination has to be paired with effective treatments.

More importantly, research has to be undertaken to understand why some people get very sick with Covid and others do not. 86% of people will get Covid relatively mildly.

Their resilience is not random, what is it about their diet, lifestyle, and physiology that is protecting them?

What is it about our environment that is exacerbating inflammation?

Little is being done to research and understand the healthy escapees.

If a big effort is not made in this direction, we are in for a continuing surprises and big challenges as Covid evolves its strategies to exploit our number one vulnerability.

So yes the vaccine helps, but it is not an end game.

The potential pitfalls of Covid are still being vastly underestimated by governments, ‘back to normal’ policies predicated on the ‘security’ of a vaccinated population are not based on science.